As the preowned business jet market softens from the sellerâs standpoint, industry analyst Altea is advising that the ultra-long-haul sector, and specifically the Gulfstream family, is an area to watch as the G700 enters service later this year.
According to Altea partner Jean SĂ©miramoth, âWithout obviously moving to a buyerâs marketâthere has been a mild shift whereby market conditions favor sellers a little less.â Unlike the frenzied market in the past couple of years, SĂ©miramoth noted more buyers are paying attention to the condition of aircraft, damage history, records, pre-purchase inspection, and delivery conditions. However, he said the shift was anticipated.
While the market is ânormalizing and heading to balance,â other factors will come into play, such as Gulfstreamâs G700 joining the lineup of in-service aircraft, Altea noted.
âIf the OEM is able to deliver as planned and to the numbers expectedâthen we could see the availability of both G550s and G650/ERs increase and prices begin to fall,â said Altea partner Andrew Butler, âWhilst inventories of both types have been relatively stable over the last six monthsâdemand remaining robustâa concerted effort to deliver G700 aircraftâgiven certification delaysâcould bring a change in this sector.â
Butler pointed out that the number of preowned G550s on the market saw a 300 percent jump once G650 deliveries spooled up, âso we might see a similar occurrence in the market againâthis time potentially affecting the G650/ER types.â
Also, given the loyalty of the Gulfstream family, G650 buyers may move into the G700 and then offload their existing model, which could dampen preowned pricing overall, the company said.
In any case, sellers and financiers should seek out proper appraisal guidance to limit risk, SĂ©miramoth said. âWe are working with several owners and financial institutions to deliver a realistic estimate of what their aircraft is worth in prevailing market conditions, and to help them recognize the issues and concerns prospective buyers are likely to point out that could ultimately impede the prospect of a successful resale.â