Market research specialist Berg Insight sees electric aircraft, including eVTOL vehicles, gaining traction more slowly than many advanced air mobility (AAM) pioneers have projected. Still, it expects them to be a major part of the air transportation industry by the 2030s. In a new report, the Swedish company predicts a “high value rather than high volume” start for the sector.
While acknowledging that a few piloted eVTOL aircraft will enter service by the end of this decade, Berg Insight analyst Henrik Littorin feels it will be between 2031 and 2035 before the ecosystem for advanced air mobility is in place to support larger-scale operations and public acceptance of the aircraft takes root. During this period, he predicts, as many as 20,000 vehicles will be delivered globally.
Beyond that, Berg Insight sees an acceleration in the scaling up of the AAM market with 60,000 deliveries of electric aircraft between 2036 and 2050. “In our most positive scenario, we have come to the conclusion that deliveries could reach up to 150,000 vehicles between 2025 and 2050,” Littorin commented. “This scenario is based on a favorable regulatory environment where the long-term airspace management has been solved as well as the approval of autonomous flights.”
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