JPMorgan downgraded Embraer yesterday from overweight to neutral, in large part due to concerns about Embraer’s airliner business. However, the investment firm noted that “continued weakness” in flight operations and other indicators “are leading us to dial back our business jet delivery forecast,” but it still predicts healthy growth in this segment.
“Business jet deliveries rose 11 percent year-over-year in the first half of the year, prompting some commentary that a recovery is under way, but we view this conclusion as premature,” JPMorgan North American Research said in its latest monthly business jet outlook, released yesterday. “Tougher comparables and fewer Hawker deliveries post-bankruptcy should result in a second-half decline that holds deliveries flattish for the year.”
“We expect a bounce in 2012, though we believe the [business jet] recovery will start slowly and we forecast delivery growth of 8 percent,” JPMorgan Investment Research said in its latest monthly business jet market report, released today. However, evidence of a recovery on the low end is still “not compelling,” it noted.
“We sense an eagerness for a pickup in the long-depressed business jet market, particularly at the lower end, but we continue to observe mixed signals,” JPMorgan Investment Research notes in its latest market report. Despite the conflicting signals, the investment research firm still predicts an 8-percent rise in business jet deliveries this year.
If you’re gainfully employed in business aviation, odds are you vote Republican and cheerlead for robust capitalism, and that’s understandable. Nobody with a mortgage and kids to educate is inclined to bite the hand that feeds, and capitalism-created wealth is what pays the bills for all of us in this business.
According to JPMorgan North American Equity Research’s latest business jet monthly report, business jet deliveries will remain flat this year at about 549 aircraft, 47 percent below the peak in 2008, but this could rise to more than 650 next year.
Despite the increasingly uncertain economic outlook, trading conditions for companies making their living from the air transport aftermarket are improving, according to analysts at Swiss bank UBS.
Demand for new-production business jets “showed signs of perking up” in the second quarter, JPMorgan North American Equity Research noted in its monthly business jet market update.
Demand for new-production business jets “showed signs of perking up” in the second quarter, JPMorgan North American Equity Research notes in its latest monthly business jet market update. However, it is perturbed about macroeconomic concerns.
Bryan Moss, the former president and vice chairman of Gulfstream, has joined private investment firm Guggenheim Partners as the chairman of its recently restructured business aircraft investment division. The company, which manages more than $80 billion in assets, provides investment management, investment banking and capital market services among other offerings to corporations, governments and individuals.